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Damaging earthquake in Kirgyzstan: analysis, problems, conclusions. / October 27, 2008 /

Nura village in Chon-Altai Region has experienced the most powerful earth-quake hit. 75 people have died and up to 95% of buildings have been destroyed. Such a tragedy took place in Kyrgyzstan in December 2007. The NTs OMZ’s specialists and experts could not be indifferent to the tragedy. There was conducted in-depth analysis of EQ pending and triggering signs („Analysis“ Annex). The consistency of seismotectogenesis concept developed and prediction procedures using the data of cloud structure space monitoring (Annexes 1, 2, 3) and other geophysical data which are free accessible in Internet, was illustrated by the example of Nura earthquake and other earthquake in the given seismically risky zone.

There is an exigency in reviewing the existing including academic ideas and considerations on the forerunners and space monitoring of seismic signs. It is well known that the Tibet-Himalayas EQs are caused by the Indian Plate subduction. But for some reason, the monitoring of geophysical fields at its margins, interaction with adjacent plates and blocks falls out the global monitoring area and one puts emphasis on local level. According to our research results we came to the conclusion which is paradoxical from the view point of conventional academic considerations: many of the forerunners are not forerunners in real and reflect local appearance of geophysical anomalies in landscape geosphere. The example is a causal-effect relation of the Earth’s rotation and revolution instabilities, electro-telluric field and seismotectonic process anomalies illustrated by the example the Kyrgyzstan EQ in October 2008.

We believe the comments and suggestions stated to be a help for all fair forecasters, more by token, a catastrophic earthquake is expected by long-term prediction in Ti-bet-Himalayas region. We refer to predictions made by V. Kossobokov, Indian and Chines geophysicists.


Appendix «Analysis» (pdf, 252.1 kb)

Appendix «Analysis Annex» (pdf, 254.2 kb)

Appendix 1.1 (pdf, 467.7 kb)

Appendix 1.2 (pdf, 541.8 kb)

Appendix 1.3 (pdf, 759.7 kb)

Appendix 1.4 (pdf, 492.9 kb)

Appendix 2 (pdf, 555 kb)

Appendix 3 (pdf, 240.6 kb)


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    the other articles: On Powerful EQ Signs in Japan, Experimental Section of Seismic Monitoring, On earthquake at Northern Italy, Japan. A year after earthquake disaster, On Earthquakes in Japan,
    all articles

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