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The earthquake forecast for Sakhalin.. / August 4, 2008 /

Land-space monitoring of the Kurilo-Kamchatka seismo-tectonic zone has allowed to find out signs of preparation of strong earthquake on Sakhalin. On the basis of received geophysical data experts of the Center had been calculated the earthquake forecast for Sakhalin with magnitude М6.5 + till August, 15th, 2008 in zone Р2 (the Appendix 1).
The cloudy seismoindicators which have given potential magnitude and zones of pressure (the Appendix 2) were the initial data for calculation of parametres of earthquake. Time a component on August, 7th or 14 ±2 days it is defined on a seismomagnetic meridian of start from 24.07.2008 – 124/-56 degrees.

As a whole, the present situation reminds last year’s very much, when on August, 2nd there was an earthquake in Nevelske and further a series of powerful earthquakes on the Pacific plate. We explain similarity of situations isoseismicity of Chandlerovsky variations of a pole. This fact is confirmed measurements at the Japanese stations and the data of proton measurements on Kamchatka. Synchronous anomalies were observed on July, 27-28th and on August, 2-3nd (the Appendix 3).

The Center of forecasts of geophysical service of the Russian Academy of Sciences and its branch on Sakhalin was informed about the forecast.

Appendix 1 (pdf, 58.1 kb)

Appendix 2 (pdf, 102.1 kb)

Appendix 3 (pdf, 184.2 kb)

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