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Forecast for Kamchatka came true. / August 3, 2010 /

Stated in the Russian Expert Council on July 19 2010 forecast of strong earthquakes in Kamchatka (Annex 1) came true. Real earthquake occurred on 30 July in the coastal area of Kamchatka, ~ 110 km from the Petropavlovsk-Kamchatsky. The city felt tremors force 4-5.

Forecast and monitor signs of the earthquake done by a group of experts and professionals NTs OMZ, the Center «forecast» Tula State University and a distant school «CosmoMeteoTectonic» (Petropavlovsk-Kamchatsky). Group share a common idea: to prevent a catastrophic earthquake in Kamchatka, the scientists expected within the next 6 years. The developed techniques and formed an Earth-space system for monitoring makes an achievable goal.

On the possibility of strong earthquakes in Kamchatka signaled anomalous values in the 4 th grade signs on July 24-25 (Annex 2). Cloud seismotectonic indicators 12 and 25 July (Annex 3) also pointed to the preparation of a strong earthquake in the area of Kamchatka with the magnitude of the M6, 4 ± 0,2. The actual magnitude was 6.2, within the accuracy of the method. Activate also «guard channels» CO3, O4 station distant school "CosmoMeteoTectonic. Let the experts’ conclusion schools: «In preparing close to Petropavlovsk-Kamchatsky (with a radius of 150 km around the station) earthquakes with M6.0 + proved to be the most effective sensors CO3, O4, called» guard ". A characteristic feature of the preparation of near field earthquake has been a sharp decrease in the variable component EMF that reported on the hearth occlusion (proton migration through the underground chamber volumes coming earthquake). The minimum value was recorded 24/07/2010 at ~ 21:30 UT. At another station, such a «failure» is registered sensor ~ C12 (18.07.2010 at ~ 04:30 UT), correlated with abnormalities in other classes of characters.

As we note the following conclusions. For example, the Kamchatka earthquake was localized manifestation of global geophysical anomalies in the specific area of preparation of a strong earthquake.

The system of terrestrial and satellite monitoring enabled purposefully and effectively track the marked regularity. A real opportunity to pre-empt «a thing» a catastrophic earthquake in Kamchatka, on the approximation of which everybody knows, but I would like to know — when?

The first part of the forecast for Italy and Greece (Annex 1) prolonged for 14 days until 15 August with the same parameters.


Annex 1 (pdf, 124,5 kb)

Annex 2 (pdf, 582,4 kb)

Annex 3 (pdf, 247,2 kb)


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    the other articles: On Powerful EQ Signs in Japan, Experimental Section of Seismic Monitoring, On earthquake at Northern Italy, Japan. A year after earthquake disaster, On Earthquakes in Japan,
    all articles

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